The Multibillion-dollar shift turning prediction markets into a professional hedging tool

admin March 7, 2026 Leave a Comment

Traders are moving beyond sports bets and elections to price “unpriceable” geopolitical and policy risks that standard financial tools can’t handle.

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Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne no longer interested in Reform-Tory pact March 6, 2026
Donor who has given £12m to Reform UK had previously wanted Nigel Farage to keep open mind about deal with ConservativesChristopher Harborne, the ultra-wealthy political donor who has given £12m to Reform UK, has told the Guardian he is “no longer” interested in a Reform-Conservative pact before the next general election.A possible collaboration between Reform […]
Ex-minister adds to UK calls for ban on political donations in cryptocurrency March 1, 2026
Exclusive: Labour’s Rushanara Ali plans to intervene in elections bill amid warnings of foreign interferenceA former Labour minister has added her voice to those of a growing list of experts and senior MPs calling for a ban on political donations in cryptocurrency as concerns grow over foreign interference in British elections.Rushanara Ali, the Labour MP […]
Ministers urged to impose temporary ban on crypto political donations February 24, 2026
National security committee warns UK elections dangerously expoed to foreign money until tougher safeguards are in placePolitical donations in cryptocurrency should be subject to an urgent temporary ban to stop foreign interference in British elections, the chair of the national security committee has said.Matt Western, who leads the committee of MPs and peers, said a […]
Crypto exchange Binance may have funded Iranian entities, reports say February 24, 2026
Internal investigators said at least two accounts allegedly saw $1.7bn move to Iranian-backed groupsShortly after Donald Trump pardoned Changpeng Zhao, the Binance founder, last fall, company employees revealed the cryptocurrency exchange may have funded Iranian entities with billions of dollars, according to a report by the New York Times.The discovery was made by a group […]
South Korean crypto exchange races to recover $40bn of bitcoin sent to customers by mistake February 10, 2026
Bithumb has apologised for staff error that sent customers 620,000 bitcoins instead of 620,000 Korean won, equivalent to a few hundred US dollarsSouth Korea’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange is scrambling to recover more than $40bn of cryptocurrency after accidentally crediting customers with 620,000 bitcoins during a promotional event last week.Bithumb said it had corrected most of […]

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‘Designed to Wreak Havoc’: The Cheap Drones Shaping the War With Iran March 7, 2026
Iran has launched waves of Shahed drones to menace Persian Gulf nations. The U.S. has unleashed its own copycat on Iran. It’s a sign of how war is changing.
For OpenAI and Anthropic, the Competition Is Deeply Personal March 7, 2026
A fight over Pentagon contracts shows how the leaders of Silicon Valley’s two most important A.I. start-ups are feuding over the future of the tech industry.
Anthropic’s and OpenAI’s Dance With the Pentagon: What to Know March 7, 2026
Negotiations, threats and amended contracts have left plenty of questions. Here are some answers.
Are A.I.-Generated Videos Changing How We See Animals? March 7, 2026
By manipulating animals to do wonderful things, we may become numb to their real wonder.
From 2017: Frances Gabe, Creator of the Only Self-Cleaning Home, Dies at 101 March 6, 2026
Equal parts quixotic dreamer and accomplished visionary, Ms. Gabe made the house do its own scrubbing.
OpenAI’s Fog of War + Betting on Iran + Hard Fork Review of Slop March 6, 2026
“The Pentagon and OpenAI are saying to the public, You’re just going to have to trust us. And the public is saying, Well, we don’t.”
Pentagon Officially Notifies Anthropic It Is a ‘Supply Chain Risk’ March 6, 2026
Anthropic has said it will sue the Defense Department over the designation, which could prevent the start-up from doing business with the U.S. government.
S.E.C. Settles Its Case Against Justin Sun, an Investor in the Trumps’ Crypto Coins March 6, 2026
The decision to settle the court action is particularly striking because the defendant was accused of a serious violation of securities laws. He denied the charges.
How $800 Monthly Car Payments Are Hurting Car Sales March 5, 2026
Cars have become so expensive that many Americans are putting off or not buying new cars, hurting the auto industry.
Demand for AI Data Centers Sends Prospectors Hunting for Land and Power March 5, 2026
Brian Janous, a former Microsoft executive, and his firm Cloverleaf have become modern-day land men, packaging electricity and land for data centers.
The Smart Home Never Quite Worked. Now It’s Getting an A.I. Reboot. March 5, 2026
Amazon and Google think that artificially intelligent assistants like Alexa+ and Gemini will speed up the process of setting up a smart home, but many problems remain unsolved.
You’ve Never Seen Ants Like This Before March 5, 2026
The Antscan database captures the tiny insects’ diversity and shows how the world’s living things could be rendered in three dimensions.
A Word to the Wise: Don’t Trust A.I. to File Your Taxes March 5, 2026
The world’s smartest technology is no match for the U.S. tax code.
Elon Musk Defends Social Media Posts in Twitter Shareholder Lawsuit March 5, 2026
Mr. Musk said he did not expect his posts in the lead-up to his 2022 acquisition of the social media site, now X, to affect the company’s share price.
Trump Announces A.I. Industry Pledge to Pay for Power March 4, 2026
Companies including Google, Microsoft and OpenAI committed to pay for the power plants and grid upgrades needed to run their data centers.
Lawmakers Question Intel’s Use of Tools From Blacklisted Chinese Firm March 4, 2026
A bipartisan group of senators raised national security concerns about the chipmaker, which is now partly owned by taxpayers.
Ford and G.M. Face a Dilemma as China Excels in Electric Vehicles March 3, 2026
General Motors, Ford and other established automakers risk becoming relics if they don’t catch up to Chinese carmakers and technology companies in electric vehicles and self-driving cars.
OpenAI Amends A.I. Deal With the Pentagon March 3, 2026
The new pact includes additional protections to prevent the use of the company’s technology for mass surveillance of Americans.
The Pentagon’s Favorite Tech Guy Is This Hawaiian Shirt-Wearing Founder March 2, 2026
Palmer Luckey, who founded the defense tech start-up Anduril, has become the It Guy as President Trump aims to modernize the U.S. military with autonomous weapons.
How Talks Between Anthropic and the Defense Dept. Fell Apart March 2, 2026
The Pentagon and Anthropic were close to agreeing on the use of artificial intelligence. But strong personalities, mutual dislike and a rival company unraveled a deal.

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